You may read the above and say "Google Car"? Really? Well, the Google Self-Driving car has now driven over 1 million miles without an accident. It is 2-3 years away from being available to the general public, and as a result, my 8-year old daughter may never own a drivers license. I think by now most people are aware of Airbnb. But I'm guessing that you don't know that in 2 years, it will be the largest hotel chain in the world; and they don't own any hotels! How about Kickstarter? If you've got a creative idea, Kickstarter is an avenue to craft your idea, build a project, attract investment and not have to engage a VC firm from Silicon Valley. Since 2009, 8.4 million people have pledged more than $1.7 billion (real $$$) to fund over 80,000 projects. I'd be remiss if I didn't mention the all-consuming smartphone growth. I really don't need my wallet anymore – between my Starbucks app, LevelUp, parking and mass transit apps, most days all I need is my iPhone. There most definitely is "an app for that". And while there are currently 9 billion connected devices on the Internet today, that number is expected to hit 1 trillion in 15 years. The information revolution is in its infancy; we are just scratching the surface.
Lately, I've been finding myself having discussions around technology disruptors and accelerators with whomever will entertain my thoughts – clients, colleagues, friends and family are all subject to my dissertations and intrigue. What I certainly do not know is how and when our industry will be affected by true disruption. Our industry, in my opinion, moves at a glacial pace when it comes to technology, and it is ripe for disruption. Asset Management firms still move files from point A to point B in much the same fashion that they did 20 years ago. Data is still managed inefficiently on systems that are not scalable, expensive to maintain and difficult to extract and consume. "New" investment vehicles ranging from ETF's to multi-asset products to OTC derivatives get the shaft when it comes to vendor software designed to properly handle them. Richard Branson has stated that most great ideas come out of frustration; several new businesses have been built by entrepreneurs who saw models that simply didn't make sense. Will Bitcoin transform aspects of our industry? Will we finally get a handle on "Big Data"? Maybe the Robo-Advisor movement will take hold (Wealthfront is intriguing)?
As I stated above, I don't have the answer for what will ultimately be the "inevitable truth" (the death of the current incarnation of our industry, and the emergence of the new). If I did, I would likely be on Kickstarter raising money and developing "an app for that."